April 25, 2022
Does your lab report threshold cycle (Ct) values with its SARS-CoV-2 results? Have you been asked to do so by customers/clients? Just because you can, does that mean you should? This is a question that I get A LOT from labs that I work with. Many customers want Ct values because they believe, erroneously, that they can make some sort of determination around infection status from those values. I don't know where they actually got this idea in the first place, but they will use the "well, the other lab will give us the Ct values" as a reason to (1) exclude your lab as a provider and/or (2) pressure you into providing the information. Here is some information you can use to overcome those objections. Firstly, different laboratories use different methods and these methods may have different Ct cutoffs. A Ct of 37 may be very different in an assay that runs for 45 cycles with a cutoff of 40 than in an assay that runs for 40 cycles with a cutoff of 38. Its difficult to say what the difference is unless the methods have been directly compared and correlated with clinical status. Additionally, I've found that many laboratories do not validate their cutoffs in house and simply use what has been published in the EUA. I believe this goes against CLIA regulations, but who am I to judge. Regardless, it has implications for what Ct values mean from various laboratories performing the same test. Ct values can be heavily technique dependent and may differ between laboratories using a lot of automation vs those that are more manual, even if they are using the same method. Moreover, there are numerous peer-reviewed publications addressing this issue (references below). But, to summarize them, individual sample Ct values should not be used as an absolute marker of length of time post-infection or to exclude infectivity where date of symptom onset is unavailable (Fox-Lewis et al). Notably, this also indicates that the Ct value has even less usefulness in asymptomatic patients. Ct values cannot differentiate between patients early in the infectious process and those who are recovering. Additionally, they cannot distinguish new infections from re-infections or simply prolonged shedding of virus. In the context of a known date of symptom onset, they can potentially be prognostic of disease severity, but again this is useless in asymptomatic patients. In my opinion, Ct values in the context of SARS-CoV-2 testing are almost useless, unless they are obtained under well controlled conditions and in the context of appropriate clinical information. So, just because you can…. You shouldn't. 1. Fox-Lewis A, Fox-Lewis S, Beaumont J, Drinković D, Harrower J, Howe K, Jackson C, Rahnama F, Shilton B, Qiao H, Smith KK, Morpeth SC, Taylor S, Blakiston M, Roberts S, McAuliffe G. SARS-CoV-2 viral load dynamics and real-time RT-PCR cycle threshold interpretation in symptomatic non-hospitalised individuals in New Zealand: a multicentre cross sectional observational study. Pathology. 2021 Jun;53(4):530-535. doi: 10.1016/j.pathol.2021.01.007. Epub 2021 Mar 20. PMID: 33838922; PMCID: PMC7980174. 2. Julian K, Shah N, Banjade R, Bhatt D. Utility of Ct values in differentiating COVID-19 reinfection versus prolonged viral shedding in an immunocompromised patient. BMJ Case Rep. 2021 Jul 27;14(7):e243692. doi: 10.1136/bcr-2021-243692. PMID: 34315745; PMCID: PMC8317077. 3. Shah S, Singhal T, Davar N, Thakkar P. No correlation between Ct values and severity of disease or mortality in patients with COVID 19 disease. Indian J Med Microbiol. 2021 Jan;39(1):116-117. doi: 10.1016/j.ijmmb.2020.10.021. Epub 2020 Nov 3. PMID: 33610241; PMCID: PMC7667391. 4. Sule WF, Oluwayelu DO. Real-time RT-PCR for COVID-19 diagnosis: challenges and prospects. Pan Afr Med J. 2020 Jul 21;35(Suppl 2):121. doi: 10.11604/pamj.supp.2020.35.24258. PMID: 33282076; PMCID: PMC7687508.